Two
weeks ago, while standing on stage in front of 300-plus people in the
Gaylord Hotel and Conference Center (located on the outskirts of
Nashville, Tennessee), I had an epiphany.
Hillary Clinton will lose in her bid to be America’s 44th president.
I saw it. I really did. It was on the faces of all the people
sitting before me in the Governor’s Ballroom that morning. Before I
even finished my opening set, the question in my head compelled me to
stop and ask the audience if there was anyone in the crowd younger than
25.
“Is there anyone in this room who was born after the year 1981?”
The answer? Zero, zip, no one. Not a soul belonged to America’s
second-largest generation, the Millennials. Now, in terms of full
disclosure, this was a conference for financial institutions, and many
in the audience were board members, owners and frontline managers.
Maybe not where you’d expect to see young professionals in that age
bracket, but still…zero representation of America’s rising powerhouse!
It gets better.
Upon further review, it was revealed that there were only a handfull
of Gen Xers (1961-1981), a few more of the Silent generation
(1925-1943) and two members of the G.I. generation (1901-1924). In
other words the room represented larger society when it comes to power
and influence and representation. It’s a Baby Boomers world, y’all. The
rest of us are practically sitting on the sidelines. We’re waiting in
line. (And by the way, while you are waiting…don’t speak…keep your
mouth shut! It makes things easier.)
The Silent generation is the generation that precedes the Boomers
and just like the old fading athlete, they still think they have a
little left in the tank. They think they still have something to say.
The reality is, they’ve done more than lost a step. They have one foot
out the door! But many of them don’t even realize it.
There were a few vocal Silents in my audience. I tolerated them with
the wry smile of someone who knows. No Silent politician has ever
occupied the White House. Will Senator John McCain be the first? As I’m
writing this, Senator McCain is the only Silent running -- unless you
count John Kerry, who is borderline Silent/Boomer. (I don’t count him.)
If McCain were to win the Republican primary, I believe it would spell
the end of the Republican control of the White House. Conservatives
would never back him and liberals wouldn’t trust him. He may make a
good president but he doesn’t inspire generational confidence in any of
the other voting generations, not even his own. It’s difficult to get
excited about compromise, no matter how much politicians preach
bi-partisanship.
The world has never celebrated great moderates. We love to win, hate
to lose and curse indecision and capitulation. John McCain strikes no
one as a winner. Of course, I could be wrong…
Hillary Clinton is the quintessential Boomer, therefore she will be
taken seriously. She should be, as long as dead Democrats continue to
vote in Chicago and Milwaukee, she is a viable candidate where I live.
However, her election would divide this nation like it hasn’t been
divided since the Civil War. I equate Hillary Clinton to another famous
“boomer” type, the infamous abolitionist John Brown.
You’re probably asking yourself, “Why John Brown?” Good question. Is
Hillary as vicious as John Brown? No. Is she as rabidly pro-life as
John Brown? Not on your life. (Pun intended.) But like Brown, she is a
generational lightning rod who attracts viciousness and division.
Standing on that stage in Tennesse, I realized that Hillary would have
to win just about every Boomer vote to be POTUS, and she won’t.
She can’t win the majority of her own generation. Yes, they rule the
world – or at least the United States – right now, but Boomers do not
want to be reminded the moral morass of the Clinton years, let alone
return to it. Even the far-far lefties can admit that once is enough
for the Clintons. You know which democrats win presidential elections?
Southern Democrats. That’s right. Think President Carter. Think
President Clinton. Even President Johnson. Kennedy was the last
northern Democrat, and – to paraphrase Lloyd Benson – Hillary is no
Kennedy.
So scratch Hillary.
Who does that leave? Rudy? Mitt Rommny? Barack? (Side note: If Obama
runs, he’ll be the first and only Gen Xer to do so.) I don’t know. My
epiphany didn’t take me there. But this I can tell you: We are in a
historical winter and it’s the Boomers
who set the tone and tenor in society during these periods. I don’t see
Boomers putting a non-Boomer at the helm in a time of crisis. But I
also don’t see them backing Hillary.
And sorry, no, I’m not running.
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